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Posted on 05.14.08 by Stephen Covington @ 4:16 am
Out where the blue ticks bay and the cardinals sing, where mountaineers roam and the banjos twang, Hillary Clinton has won what might be one of her last few significant victories ahead of similar small states like Montana and South Dakota in June. West Virginia has gone to Clinton. Yep, West Virginia, a fairly conservative state which wouldn’t vote for Barack Obama even if he paid everyone with pure gold ingots and delicious snacks. WV is pretty heavily Democrat at the state level, but national elections are another tale entirely - Bush won in 2000 and 2004. Clinton probably didn’t even have to don a pair of overalls to pull this one off. It doesn’t change the fact that she’s still going to get smashed. I would say it’s time to hang it up, but it can’t hurt to have her keep slinging at Obama. Filed under: Barack Obama and Campaign 2008 and Democrats and Election Results and Hillary Clinton Comments: None |
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Posted on 05.06.08 by Austin Cassidy @ 11:27 pm
To the delight of most Republicans, it appears that Hillary Clinton could win a very narrow victory in Indiana tonight. Early returns put her up by more than 10%, but as the numbers keep coming in that will narrow. However, CNN’s exit polls show her with about a 2-3% lead over Barack Obama. That may be a sign that she’s going to pull this one off — but just barely. It doesn’t save her or change the dynamic of the race very much, but it does hold off the idea of a knock-out punch from Obama. Clinton will live to fight another day, and the race will go on. No word yet from North Carolina, but the leaked exit polls show an easy win for Obama. If it’s a double-digit defeat, that’s going to be hard to spin for Hillary. We’ll just have to wait and see how things unfold the rest of the night. Filed under: Barack Obama and Campaign 2008 and Election Results and Hillary Clinton Comments: None |
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Posted on 02.13.08 by Austin Cassidy @ 12:09 am
The polls have just closed in Virginia, Maryland, and D.C. With only exit polls and a few scattered early results in, it looks clear that Senators John McCain and Barack Obama will sweep their respective contests. Obama, in particular, has built some very big wins over Hillary Clinton tonight. Not a surprise in D.C. and Maryland… but the Virginia contest is one that Hillary’s camp had hoped would be a little bit closer. This pads Obama’s slim delegate lead by a little bit. John McCain appears to have taken all three of tonight’s contests, though Mike Huckabee gave him a tough run for his money in Virginia. We’ll have to watch the results and see how things finally break out. Filed under: Barack Obama and Campaign 2008 and Election Results and John McCain Comments: 5 Comments |
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Posted on 02.10.08 by Austin Cassidy @ 7:23 am
John McCain has apparently won the Washington Republican caucuses tonight, a narrow victory over Mike Huckabee and Ron Paul. In fact, the most notable element of the race is that Ron Paul picked up about 22% for a close third place finish. This is one of his campaign’s strongest showings to date, and it comes on a day when Representative Paul announced he was scaling back his Presidential campaign to focus on running for re-election to Congress. The win is also somewhat important for McCain as it blunts some of Mike Huckabee’s momentum from his victories in Kansas and Louisiana. Going forward, McCain just needs to win Maryland and the District of Columbia on Tuesday to keep a good head of steam going. If he can complete the sweep and win Virginia as well, Mike Huckabee might be out of the race by the end of the week. Either way, John McCain is still virtually guaranteed the Republican nomination. And every vote for Mike Huckabee helps bolster his stature as a potential Vice-Presidential candidate. Filed under: Campaign 2008 and Election Results and John McCain and Ron Paul Comments: 16 Comments |
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Posted on 02.10.08 by Austin Cassidy @ 6:32 am
Mike Huckabee has scored a second win for tonight, taking the Louisiana primary by a very narrow margin of 44-43%. However, because no candidate recieved 50% of the vote, tonight’s vote is merely a beauty contest and no delegates will be awarded. Louisiana has a complicated three-step process for picking delegates. John McCain and Ron Paul did well at the state’s recent convention to select delegates, with this primary not having an impact, it looks like McCain is still in a good position to wrap up many of the state’s actual convention delegates. However, the primary victory for Huckabee is certainly a momentum boost. At this point, Huckabee is still mainly asserting himself as a Vice-Presidential candidate. It would be practically impossible for him to win the nomination. In fact, earlier tonight, CNN showed a simulation that showed what would happen if Mike Huckabee won every single remaining Republican primary by a 50-40-10 margin over McCain and Ron Paul. The result: John McCain still wins enough delegates to comfortably capture the nomination. The results of the Washington caucus are still pending, as McCain leads Huckabee there by only 2% with 85% of the votes counted. We’ll have to wait and see what happens there. Filed under: Campaign 2008 and Election Results and John McCain and Mike Huckabee Comments: 5 Comments |
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Posted on 02.10.08 by Austin Cassidy @ 5:49 am
It looks like Barack Obama has swept through today’s primaries and caucuses on the Democratic side. By landslide margins, Obama carried the states of Nebraska, Washington, and Louisiana. And he also claimed victory in the caucuses held in the Virgin Islands. Hillary “I loaned myself $5 million” Clinton was able to pick up some delegates in these states, but she failed to crack the 40% mark anywhere. A big moral defeat, if not a serious delegate loss. She’ll need to pull out her hanky and start bawling pretty soon, because a trio of defeats in the fast approaching DC, Maryland, and Virginia primaries could prove fatal to her campaign. Filed under: Barack Obama and Campaign 2008 and Election Results Comments: None |
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Posted on 02.10.08 by Austin Cassidy @ 2:54 am
As expected, Mike Huckabee dominated today’s Kansas caucuses as he turned out that state’s largely rural and religous voters in large numbers. Huckabee took in 60% of the vote, with 24% going to McCain, 11% for Ron Paul, and 1% for Alan Keyes. The state’s 36 convention delegates are winner take all and will be awarded to Huckabee, brining his total up over 200. That inches him closer to overtaking Mitt Romney for second place in the delegate standings. Romney suspended his campaign earlier in the week, following weak Super Tuesday showings and John McCain’s huge delegate lead. Filed under: Campaign 2008 and Election Results and Mike Huckabee Comments: None |
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Posted on 02.06.08 by Austin Cassidy @ 7:06 am
The conventional thinking about California is that the state’s 53 Congressional districts would split between Romney and McCain. With each district worth 3 convention delegates, the Romney camp was hoping they could scoop up a basket of delegates to remain relevant. That doesn’t seem to be happening at all. While the results are still coming in, and these are very early number… McCain is winning the state by more than 10% and is winning EVERY single Congressional district right now. That would give McCain a gigantic boost and effectively destroy Romney’s hopes once and for all. Romney did what he does best today… he strung together small wins in caucus states and then tried to spin that as some great victory. But the delegate count is starting to make it clear that no one can catch McCain. Right now, CNN projects that Romney will just fall short of 400 delegates and that John McCain should be holding over 700 after tonight. Expect Romney to reevaluate his campaign in the next couple of days. Filed under: Campaign 2008 and Election Results and Mitt Romney and Super Tuesday Comments: 1 Comment |
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Posted on 02.06.08 by Austin Cassidy @ 6:58 am
Alaska was a state that Ron Paul supporters hoped would deliver a win for their candidate. But that didn’t quite happen, they’ll have to settle for second place. Mitt Romney appears to have “taken the gold” in the last Republican state to report results. However, entry polls show that Paul finished a solid second in Alaska and will probably win some delegates. The KTUU entry polling survey gives Paul 26%…
Ron Paul also picked up third place and 5 delegates in North Dakota today. He made a deal with Mike Huckabee to win 3 delegates in West Virginia. And he’s likely to score a few more delegates in Minnesota. Plus, results show that Paul finished in second in the Montana caucuses as well. But he apparently doesn’t win any delegates from that showing, according to the Associated Press. ————— UPDATED: Well, exit polling is not an exact science. And it looks like they got it wrong in Alaska last night. Even though all the votes haven’t been counted yet, most reports agree that Ron Paul will finish in third place behind Romney and Huckabee. Projections show him winning 5 of the state’s convention delegates. Filed under: Campaign 2008 and Election Results and Ron Paul and Super Tuesday Comments: 63 Comments |
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Posted on 02.06.08 by Austin Cassidy @ 4:11 am
Well, it’s been a crazy night. We’ve witnessed the collapse of the Romney campaign almost everywhere they were playing to win. But Mike Huckabee is now outperforming expectations and might be the second place finisher coming out of tonight. Romney vows he will hang in there, but how does he justify that with his long list of defeats? Romney absolutely HAS to win California tonight. If he doesnt do it, he’s no longer a relevant force in this race. Meanwhile, Mike Huckabee is fighting John McCain for the lead in Missouri. Over 80% of the votes have been counted and McCain is only ahead by 1,000 votes. This is a winner-take-all contest for 58 delegates. If Huckabee pulls out a win, it will be huge for his campaign. If McCain wins Missouri and California tonight, this race is essentially over and John McCain is the Republican nominee. Filed under: Campaign 2008 and Election Results and Super Tuesday Comments: None |
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