Romney calls a time-out
Posted on 02.07.08 by Stephen Covington @ 5:53 pm

Officials with the campaign have said that former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney will suspend his run for the Republican primary nomination, following a disappointing series of state and district-wide losses on February 5.  He currently controls only 270 delegates, approximately one-third the number held by Arizona Senator John McCain. 

The original story has been released by CNN and is still developing.  This would put McCain as the definite frontrunner, and likely nominee, in this contest.  Romney’s departure from the race might also increase Huckabee’s prospects for winning additional delegates.


Filed under: Breaking News and Campaign 2008 and John McCain and Mitt Romney and Super Tuesday
Comments: None

Hugh Hewitt Can Live With McCain
Posted on 02.06.08 by Austin Cassidy @ 9:40 pm

Conservative pundit Hugh Hewitt appears to be the first of the talk radio Romney-believers to rally behind John McCain as the likely Republican nominee.  Hewitt gives seven reasons why Republicans have to support the Republican nominee, no matter who it is.

Hewitt posted on his Townhall blog today that…

Senator McCain has a clear path to the nomination, Romney a very uphill battle, and Huck is fighting for 2012 at this point and for a win in a major vote outside of the south.  Certainly they should all stay in through the primaries ahead because it isn’t over and because our side needs the excitement of a campaign in such key falls states as Wisconsin, Ohio and Pennsylvania to keep the MSM from turning 100% of its attention on to growing the Obama phenomenon.  They ought to be scheduling three man debates in every state, making their points and taking every opportunity to look ahead to the fall.

At the same time, Romney and Huckabee ought to begin to note Senator McCain’s lead and urge their followers to recognize that if they cannot come back they and their followers will have to come in and join the party’s eventual nominee.  Senator McCain would do well to make a similar statement though his lead is significant and his collapse unlikely.  Putting Humpty Dumpty together again cannot wait for St. Paul.  Each of the three need to strike some common chords again and again, beginning with why the GOP needs to retain the White House, regardless of who its nominee is.

There are seven reasons for anyone to support the eventual nominee no matter who it is:  The war and six Supreme Court justices over the age of 68.

Can Rush Limbaugh and Ann Coulter be far behind?


Filed under: Campaign 2008 and John McCain and Super Tuesday and Talk Radio
Comments: 3 Comments

California is Final Nail in Romney Coffin
Posted on 02.06.08 by Austin Cassidy @ 7:06 am

The conventional thinking about California is that the state’s 53 Congressional districts would split between Romney and McCain.  With each district worth 3 convention delegates, the Romney camp was hoping they could scoop up a basket of delegates to remain relevant.

That doesn’t seem to be happening at all.

While the results are still coming in, and these are very early number… McCain is winning the state by more than 10% and is winning EVERY single Congressional district right now.  That would give McCain a gigantic boost and effectively destroy Romney’s hopes once and for all.

Romney did what he does best today… he strung together small wins in caucus states and then tried to spin that as some great victory.  But the delegate count is starting to make it clear that no one can catch McCain.

Right now, CNN projects that Romney will just fall short of 400 delegates and that John McCain should be holding over 700 after tonight.  Expect Romney to reevaluate his campaign in the next couple of days.


Filed under: Campaign 2008 and Election Results and Mitt Romney and Super Tuesday
Comments: 1 Comment

Ron Paul Takes Second Place in Alaska
Posted on 02.06.08 by Austin Cassidy @ 6:58 am

Alaska was a state that Ron Paul supporters hoped would deliver a win for their candidate.  But that didn’t quite happen, they’ll have to settle for second place.  Mitt Romney appears to have “taken the gold” in the last Republican state to report results.

However, entry polls show that Paul finished a solid second in Alaska and will probably win some delegates. 

The KTUU entry polling survey gives Paul 26%…

Of 339 registered voters, 163 claimed to support Romney, while 88 supported Ron Paul.  Further, 54 voters intend to support Mike Huckabee and 34 support McCain.

Ron Paul also picked up third place and 5 delegates in North Dakota today.  He made a deal with Mike Huckabee to win 3 delegates in West Virginia.  And he’s likely to score a few more delegates in Minnesota. 

Plus, results show that Paul finished in second in the Montana caucuses as well.  But he apparently doesn’t win any delegates from that showing, according to the Associated Press.

—————

UPDATED: Well, exit polling is not an exact science.  And it looks like they got it wrong in Alaska last night.  Even though all the votes haven’t been counted yet, most reports agree that Ron Paul will finish in third place behind Romney and Huckabee.  Projections show him winning 5 of the state’s convention delegates.


Filed under: Campaign 2008 and Election Results and Ron Paul and Super Tuesday
Comments: 63 Comments

McCain Wins California, Missouri
Posted on 02.06.08 by Austin Cassidy @ 5:41 am

A pair of huge wins for John McCain seem to have cemented his status as the likely Republican nominee.  In Missouri, McCain narrowly beat Mike Huckabee to win all 58 delegates from that state.

In California, the delegates will be split between McCain, Romney, and possibly Huckabee.  But the media is calling the race for McCain statewide.  That was a state that Romney had to win in order to make a rational case for keeping his campaign going.

Both Romney and Huckabee have vowed tonight to keep fighting this battle, but it’s hard to imagine how either could possibly overtake the large lead that Senator McCain has built.

With California and several other Western states yet to be counted, McCain has hit 512 delegates… that’s almost half of what he needs to win the nomination.  Romney and Huckabee are trailing back around 200-300 each. 

We’ll have more solid numbers in the morning, but all signs are that this race is essentially over with.


Filed under: Campaign 2008 and John McCain and Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney and Super Tuesday
Comments: None

California and Missouri Could End It
Posted on 02.06.08 by Austin Cassidy @ 4:11 am

Well, it’s been a crazy night.  We’ve witnessed the collapse of the Romney campaign almost everywhere they were playing to win.  But Mike Huckabee is now outperforming expectations and might be the second place finisher coming out of tonight.

Romney vows he will hang in there, but how does he justify that with his long list of defeats?  Romney absolutely HAS to win California tonight.  If he doesnt do it, he’s no longer a relevant force in this race.

Meanwhile, Mike Huckabee is fighting John McCain for the lead in Missouri.  Over 80% of the votes have been counted and McCain is only ahead by 1,000 votes.  This is a winner-take-all contest for 58 delegates.  If Huckabee pulls out a win, it will be huge for his campaign.

If McCain wins Missouri and California tonight, this race is essentially over and John McCain is the Republican nominee.


Filed under: Campaign 2008 and Election Results and Super Tuesday
Comments: None

Huckabee Leading Georgia Exit Polls
Posted on 02.06.08 by Austin Cassidy @ 12:57 am

Looks like another nail in the Mitt Romney coffin as exit polling shows Mike Huckabee with a very narrow lead over Romney, and McCain is essentially tied… but probably just slightly back in third place.

As he’s tried to consolidate conservatives against McCain, pundits have suggested the Mitt Romney would have a hard time moving on if he doesn’t win Georgia as well as several other key states.  This could be a very bad sign for Romney if these figures hold up.


Filed under: Campaign 2008 and Election Results and Super Tuesday
Comments: None

Tonight’s Must-Win States
Posted on 02.05.08 by Austin Cassidy @ 11:58 pm

In order to continue and remain a viable candidate for the GOP nomination, this is what to look for tonight…

John McCain: He has to win his home state of Arizona, plus New York and New Jersey.  Any victories beyond that are just gravy.  If he wins Connecticut, Delaware, and at least one Southern state this is probably all over with.

Mitt Romney: He’s got to score three key wins to stay really viable tonight.  He has to win California, Missouri, and Georgia.  Plus his home state of Massachusetts.  Even then he’ll still be behind McCain, but at least he’ll have some reason to continue on.

Mike Huckabee: He’s got to sweep Arkansas, Tennessee, Alabama, and Georgia tonight… plus win delegates in Missouri and the caucus states.  And even then he’ll still be a long-shot.  Odds are, he’s just trying to defeat Romney right now so he can throw his weight to McCain and become the VP.


Filed under: Campaign 2008 and Super Tuesday
Comments: 3 Comments

Ron Paul Wins Three W.V. Delegates
Posted on 02.05.08 by Austin Cassidy @ 11:08 pm

As it turns out, the Ron Paul campaign figured out a way to wheel and deal their way to three convention delegates from West Virginia.  Paul’s supporters made an agreement with the Huckabee campaign to swing their votes to the former Arkansas governor.  In exchange, the Huckabee camp promised that 3 of the state’s 18 delegates would go to Ron Paul supporters.

“Our goal is to secure as many delegates to the national GOP convention in Minneapolis-St. Paul as possible,” said Ron Paul 2008 campaign manager Lew Moore. “Securing three delegates in West Virginia is an important step in that direction. We plan on locking up more delegates before the day ends.”

This is an interesting deal, but it seems like the national media isn’t bothering to give Paul the credit for those 3 delegates.  All of the major media delegate counts show Huckabee with all 18 delegates in West Virginia.

The McCain campaign seems to have made a similar deal with Huckabee, but perhaps not for the same kind of payoff.  McCain’s camp simply wanted to deal Mitt Romney a defeat and help out Huckabee, who is widely believed to be campaigning for Vice-President.


Filed under: Campaign 2008 and Ron Paul and Super Tuesday
Comments: 5 Comments

Pushing Fred Thompson to Re-Enter the Race?
Posted on 02.05.08 by Austin Cassidy @ 3:10 pm

I just got this email that seems to have been making the rounds to some conservative bloggers and activists.  Apparently, a handful of former Fred Thompson supporters are keeping the faith.  They’ve been trying to organize grassroots supporters to vote for Thompson anyway, despite the fact that he’s dropped out of the race… 

There is a reason Fred Thompson hasn’t endorsed any other Republican candidate for President. If the FRED ARMY can come through on Super Tuesday and deliver a victory in Tennessee, he will re-enter the race and give us the conservative alternative we need!

Mitt Romney is a phony conservative. John McCain is an honorable servant, but he is not the right man to represent our party. Mike Huckabee is a liberal in conservative clothing.

Only Fred Thompson can save our party and our nation.

Fred may not be out on the campaign trail, but you can be. His name is still on the ballot and we can still get the word out. This election year is unlike any other. Fred Thompson was leading the polls before he got into the race, there’s no good reason why he can’t lead again.

Get out and vote for Fred! Wave signs for Fred! Call friends, call family members, open the phone book and call everyone! Make a YouTube video or share an eCard to remind people they can still vote for Fred.

Victory in Tennessee means victory for America! 

We can and we must win!

Imagine the headlines: Thompson wins more delegates than Ron Paul or Mike Huckabee! Thompson beats Huckabee in California, Alabama, and New York! Thompson re-enters race as Romney and Huckabee drop out!

WE CAN DO IT! LET’S MAKE IT HAPPEN!

FRED THOMPSON 2008 - FRED FOREVER!

The idea isn’t quite as crazy as it might sound.  Back in 1992, Paul Tsongas suspended his campaign and then rejoined the race, thinking Clinton had been fatally wounded by a string of sex scandals.  It didn’t quite work for Tsongas, but he did perform well in New York.

But Tsongas had won several other states before dropping out, collecting hundreds of delegates.  Fred Thompson hasn’t come close.  He finished second in Wyoming and third in South Carolina and Iowa.  He had been awarded only 11 delegates prior to ending his campaign a couple of weeks ago.

Thompson just might win a couple of delegates today, but it’s doubtful this effort will entice the former Senator back into the race.  Particularly considering how little he seems to have wanted the job in the first place.


Filed under: Fred Thompson and Super Tuesday
Comments: 20 Comments

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